On the evening of July 29, the China Electricity Council announced the national electricity supply and demand analysis report in the first half of the year. Huaneng, Datang, Huadian, Guodian, and China Power Investment Corp.’s five major power generation groups recorded a loss of 15.38 billion yuan in thermal power production in the first half of the year, a loss of 9.52 billion yuan year-on-year. CEC also predicts that the electricity consumption gap may increase this summer, with the nation’s highest electricity load increasing by about 14%.
Jia Fusheng, deputy director of the Economic Operation Bureau of the National Development and Reform Commission, said on the 29th at the Summer Coal and Electricity Supply and Demand Supply and Demand Situation Meeting that the peak of summer power supply is still not optimistic. As the temperature increases, the air-conditioning load may continue to persist. Rising; In addition, industrial electricity consumption still maintained a relatively rapid growth, and power supply security pressures are still increasing.
Thermal power losses have been further expanded Since this year, the increase in coal prices and the increase in electricity demand have caused thermal power companies to generate unprecedented loss pressures between production operations and power supply. According to CEC statistics, in the first half year, the power businesses of Huaneng, Datang, Huadian, Guodian, and China Power Investment’s five major power generation groups collectively lost 6.65 billion yuan, a loss of 5.09 billion yuan year-on-year, of which thermal power production companies suffered a loss of 15.38 billion yuan in the first half of the year. The loss increased by 9.52 billion yuan.
The National Development and Reform Commission raised the on-grid tariffs in some provinces and municipalities in April. However, due to the rise in coal prices, the operational difficulties of power companies have not yet been reversed. The data released by the CEC in May showed that the five major power generation groups had a loss of 10.57 billion yuan in thermal power production from January to April. In other words, after the on-grid tariff was raised, the production of thermal power in the five major groups in the last two months still lost nearly 5 billion yuan.
The loss of thermal power companies is inextricably linked with the rise in coal prices. Since March of this year, the price of coal has continued to rise significantly. For example, 5,500 kcal Shanxi high-grade coal from Qinhuangdao Port, the average price in June has risen by RMB 71.6/ton from March, making it extremely difficult for thermal power companies that have already suffered widespread losses. .
A person from the China Datang Group’s Hunan branch pessimistically stated in an interview with reporters that in the first half of this year, the company’s loss was more than 700 million yuan; the current trend of loss continued, and the debt ratio rose from the previous 80% to More than 90%.
Due to the increase in losses, the production enthusiasm of thermal power companies has been hit. According to the statistics of the TV drama Union, in the first half of the year, the country’s newly added infrastructure power generation capacity was 34.78 million kilowatts, of which thermal power was 23.31 million kilowatts, which was 900,000 kilowatts less than the same period of last year. In addition, in the first half of the year, the country’s newly-added power generation capacity for infrastructure construction exceeded the same period of last year, but the growth rate of installed capacity of thermal power, which is the basis of power supply guarantee, was far below the growth rate of electricity consumption.
The CEC report pointed out that compared with major upstream and downstream industries, the electric power industry is the industry with the lowest level of benefits and the greatest operating pressure. The total profit realized by the power industry is less than one third of the profits of the coal mining and washing industry and the oil and gas exploitation industry. The industry’s profit margin for sales is 3.2%, which is only about half of the average sales profit rate of industrial enterprises above designated size in the country.
Power price reform calls for renewed thermal power companies that are the foundation of China's power supply security. Under the pressure of production losses, the pressure for securing supply is still severe. According to a report issued by the National Development and Reform Commission on July 29, from January to June, 20, 8, 9, 8, 11, and 14 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) had adopted power restriction measures. Among them, Zhejiang, Guangdong and Guizhou have limited electricity every month, and Jiangxi and Hunan have limited power except in February. In response to the subsequent power shortage, the NDRC requires power generation companies to continue to increase coal storage.
As for the thermal power companies that still lose money after the increase in electricity prices, how to increase coal storage and reduce losses at the same time? Under this circumstance, industry insiders once again issued a call for electricity price reform.
Liu Jipeng, a professor at the China University of Political Science and Law (blog) (Weibo), said: “The reason why the tariff increase is useless? Its root cause is the inability of institutional mechanisms to solve the problem of administrative examination and approval of electricity prices and promote the market-based electricity price reform.â€
China Merchants Securities also issued a report a few days ago, pointing out that electricity price reform is the core of the power system reform. Only by making electricity prices reflect the degree of resource scarcity and the relationship between market supply and demand, can we fundamentally solve the contradiction between coal and electricity prices and further promote the transformation of economic development patterns.
The CEC suggested that the coal-electricity linkage mechanism is an important measure adopted by the country to adopt market measures to rationalize the contradiction between coal and electricity. The coal-electricity linkage should be implemented in a timely manner and the mechanism should continue to be improved. CEC stated that in recent years, the institutional contradictions of “market coal and planned electricity†have been outstanding. Since 2003, coal prices in China have continued to rise, and the representative coal price of Qinhuangdao Shanxi high-grade 5,500 kcal coal has risen more than that. 200%, while the sales price rose less than 40%.
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